Simulation Notes Europe, Volume 36(1), March 2026

Forecast-Based MPC of a Hydrogen-lntegrated Multi-Energy System with Dynamic Building Modeling

Simulation Notes Europe SNE 36(1), 2026, 45-53
DOI: 10.11128/sne.36.tn.10767

Abstract

This paper presents a system-level modeling and control framework for a small-scale power-to-X (P-t-X) facility coupled with a dynamic building model. The considered system configuration and parameterization are based on a real-world energy research facility at the Technische Hochschule Ulm. A forecast-based model predictive control (MPC) strategy is compared to a conventional rule-based approach. The MPC is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP), integrates time series forecasts, and limits daily start events of key conversion units via an ε-constraint. Results indicate the potential of predictive operation to improve self-sufficiency and self-consumption while respecting operational and building comfort constraints.